Monday, June 25, 2007

...This Blog, However, Is Not Dead

As a much more accomplished blogger than I once told me: "keep it simple." So here it goes..

But with all due respect to Dale, Melissa Jenna is the reason I'm dusting off. I dig her quirky spectacles, arched eyebrow and .

In other news: my youngest daughter is putting together a select youth soccer team via a regional club program. I can't afford it, but I'm quite certain if she doesn't participate she'll be one step closer to assuming a stage name like Aura or Mystique.

Saturday, January 28, 2006

Hola, Amigos. Been a Long Time Since I've Rapped At Ya'

First things first: sorry to my ones of readers who have patiently waited for the first post of 2006. As I said in the previous comments section, I've been bustin my arse in the saltmines. Second: my apologies for ripping off Jim Anchower's intro. My post will be nowhere near as enlightening as his would be. It's just the first intro that comes to mind.

A few posts ago, I gave a breakdown of NFL offenses and their yards per attempt metrics. Later, in the comments, Dale crowed about his draft strategy that had him cleverly snagging premium WR's in the first few rounds - eschewing the common run on RB's. My quick thought, then and now, is that premium RB's are worth more points (in most leagues) than premium WR's. To expand on this a bit, after looking at the '05 points totals for positions, I'd say that if you pick an elite WR in the 1st round are able to pick second-tier RB's in the 2nd, 3rd or 4th rounds (unlikely in bigger leagues), then Dale might be on to something.

Every year, I buy the fantasy guide published by Pro-Football Weekly (PFW). I've managed to save the last three pre-season guides, so I originally decided to take a pre/post look at positions for each season, beginning with 2005, using PFW guides against the final results from my Yahoo league. Subsequent posts (*promise*) will look at 2004 and 2003 seasons (assuming points data is available from Yahoo) and I'll need to break up the post a bit, any (really wish I knew html so I could set up tables).

Note: the Pigskin and Grits III league used a pretty common points system - Rushing=1pt/10 yds; 6pts/TD, etc; Receiving=1 pt/20 yds; 0.5pts/rec.; 6pts/TD; Passing=1pt/40 yds; 0.5pts/comp.; -0.5pts/Inc; 6pts/TD.


2005 WR Draft Board (PFW)
Rank/Player
1. R. Moss
2. T. Owens
3. T. Holt
4. M. Harrison
5. J. Walker
6. C. Johnson
7. A. Johnson
8. R. Wayne
9. J. Horn
10. H. Ward

2005 WR Final Points: Pigskin and Grits III
Rank/Player/Pts Total
1. S. Smith-208
2. L. Fitzgerald-186
3. C. Johnson-177
4. M. Harrison-170
5. T. Holt-169
6. C. Chambers-168
7. S. Moss-167
8. A. Boldin-167
9. J. Galloway-166
10. H. Ward-148

2005 RB Draft Board (PFW)
Rank/Player
1. P. Holmes
2. L. Tomlinson
3. S. Alexander
4. E. James
5. A. Green
6. C. Dillon
7. W. McGahee
8. C. Portis
9. D. McCallister
10. D. Davis

2005 RB Final Points: Pigskin and Grits III
Rank/Player/Pts Total
1. S. Alexander-365
2. L. Tomlinson-328
3. L. Johnson-326
4. T. Barber-305
5. E. James-271
6. C. Portis-247
7. R. Johnson-233
8. L. Jordan-231
9. T. Jones-203
10. S. Jackson-196

2005 QB Draft Board (PFW)
Rank/Player
1. P. Manning
2. D. Culpepper
3. D. McNabb
4. M. Vick
5. T. Green
6. K. Collins
7. B. Favre
8. M. Bulger
9. J. Plummer
10. T. Brady

2005 QB Final Points
1. C. Palmer-362
2. P. Manning-320
3. T. Brady-308
4. M. Hasselbeck-296
5. D. Brees-277
6. J. Plummer-252
7. D. Bledsoe-248
8. T. Green-248
9. J. Delhomme-239
10. M. Vick-232

Again, most point systems will value QB's and RB's over every other position. As a result, you have to consider the availability of elite QB's and RB's in the early rounds and hope they don't suck or get injured. But taking elite WR's in early rounds, and identifying 2nd-tier guys (see Johnson, Rudi) or correctly identifying the new Larry Johnson for later rounds, can also be a good strategy.

Thursday, December 22, 2005

Dude, They Just Signed Away the "Face of the Organization"

Yes, I wanted to resign Damon. I did say that 4 years at $40 million would get it done and, by all reports, thats what the front office offered. Coincidentally, this is also what got Varitek, another Bora$ client, resigned last winter. The difference, as always, is that when the Yankees need to fill a position through free agency, they are usually bidding against themselves.

Damon signed with the Yankees for 4 years at 52 million. Reportedly - as Damon curiously revealed during his interview with WEEI yesterday - he TURNED DOWN an offer for five (5) years with less annual average value (I forget the amount). I'm not sure why a guy signing what could be his last deal at age 33 turns down an additional year. He also said he turned down a sixth year from another team a "non-contender" (ahem, Tigers, cough) but declined to reveal who. Damon never came back to the Red Sox for a counter-offer. Thanks, dude.

Yesterday kinda sucked because Damon was the guy who seemed like he understood what it takes to put up with losers like me obsessing over a game that's impossible to explain to the disinterested. Red Sox fans are not afraid to tell you when you suck. They don't mindlessly cheer like fanboy automatons (I'm looking at you, Packer and St. Louis Cardinal fans) but when you give the effort Johnny gave for four years, they worship you like a god. Johnny Damon will never be regarded as highly in NY as he was in Boston. In NY, he'll be another high-priced free agent signing for Steinbrenner - a guy determined to taste as much of the 2004 Red Sox champion team as possible (see: Belhorn, Mark; Embree, Alan; Myers, Greg).

But what I don't get is ESPN obsessing (go link it yourself - should be easy to find) over: 1) the "disarray" of the Red Sox front office and the offseason, in general, and 2) the need to award the 2007 World Series title to the Yankees.

There's work to be done, but "disarray"?! Here's what makes me reluctant to call this offseason a total failure:

1. Trading Doug Mirabelli, the backup catcher, to the Padres for 2B Mark Loretta, a starter. This move fills an immediate need at 2B, created last year when Belhorn started to suck. Prospect Dustin Pedroia may need another 1/2 season in AAA before he's ready for major league at-bats. Mark Graffanino, last year's mid-season trade, probably can't be expected to continue to hit like he did down the stretch last year. Interestingly, Graffanino accepted the Sox offer for arbitration, which means he'll either stay with the team as a sub, or be included in an upcoming deal.

2. Trading Edgar Renteria and his salary to Atlanta for Andy Marte, the consensus best prospect in baseball. Edgar unsuccessfully tried to replace Orlando Cabrerra - the charismatic SS who somehow made everyone forget about Mr. Mia Hamm - in 2005. Marte is a 3B who is projected to produce somewhere in the neighborhood of Scott Rolen's numbers. He's also been mentioned as a chit that could be flipped for a CF or a SS. The downside of this move, a downside that's been mentioned in the media, is this move created an immediate hole at SS. Look for a push to get Cabrerra back from the Angels.

3. Traded prospects for P Josh Beckett and 3B Mike Lowell. You might remember Beckett as the guy who finished the Yankees in Game 6 of the 2003 WS. He's 25, under contract for two more years and has electric stuff. Mike Lowell was included as a salary dump. If he remembers how to hit, he'll allow Marte to get additional at-bats in AAA. Lowell could also be used as a 1B, but is reportedly too good defensively to waste at 1B.

4. Built bullpen depth. Signed Rudy Saenez from the Padres. Last year Saenez struck out 84, walked 22, while holding batters to a .222 AVG in 60 innings. Saenez - if he doesn't resume sucking (he's 37 and has occasionally sucked in recent years) - could be a guy who can come in and coax a strikeout with runners on base. You know, the guy the Red Sox lacked last year once Embree started sucking. They also signed Jason Van Buren - a guy the Cubs have inexplicably given up on despite posting solid K/BB ratios in AAA. Van Buren is a guy who is capable of getting outs in the majors if used properly. Guillermo Mota was included in the Beckett deal. Mota is another setup guy with decent K/BB. Timlin resigned.

5. Haven't taken less value for Manny. If Manny also wants out, fine. But he has a contract with $57 million left that he won't walk away from. If Manny nets Miguel Tejada or Mark Prior (two rumors), then I'd pull the trigger.

As far as the Yanks: they haven't won a title this century even though they've been spending money like drunken sailors. Before the 2004 offseason, they supposedly trumped the Red Sox by signing ARod and signing the corpse of Kevin Brown. We know how that turned out. Before last season, they were given the WS title by trading for Randy Johnson and overpaying for Carl Pavano and Jaret Wright. This year, they sign Damon - who will now makes more than Miguel Tejada. Yep. Damon's average value will pay him $3 million more per year than the best SS in baseball. Initially, I thought it was a good deal for the Yanks, but I think had the Red Sox signed Damon for those terms, they'd get crucified. Rob Neyer, one of my daily reads at ESPN.com before he went 'Insider', called Damon the most overpaid player in baseball when the Sox signed him from the A's in 2002. I'm not saying I agree, just wondering why the Yankees suddenly got such a good deal.

Tuesday, December 20, 2005


Bored with the 'Culture War'

Today's Federal Court decision regarding the Dover, Pennsylvania School Board should give angry white-guy talk radio and religious activists something to do for the next few months. My favorite representation of the notion of 'Intelligent Design' is from the presiding judge:

"To be sure, Darwin's theory of evolution is imperfect," Judge Jones wrote. "However, the fact that a scientific theory cannot yet render an explanation on every point should not be used as a pretext to thrust an untestable alternative hypothesis grounded in religion into the science classroom or to misrepresent well-established scientific propositions."

I'm not getting angry with the religious right, just bored. I'm sure this Jones fellow will be called an 'activist judge' by O'Reily, Limbaugh, et. al., or even have his life threatened in the next few days. Whatever. These days, I just want to be peacefully governed. And I am, usually. For this, I am grateful and feel fortunate to live in the United States of America. However, if my daughters bring home a science textbook that containing spiritual navelgazing, I'm moving to New Zealand.

G'day, Mate.


Thursday, December 15, 2005

Re-Sign Damon. Please.

4 years/$40 million with a club option for the 5th year is fair. The Yankees won't give him a 5th year (I hope). And we all know nobody's gonna give him a 6th or 7th year, like his agent has requested.

I can't picture the guy who brought down the Empire actually playing for the Empire. It would be worse than Clemens wearing those tacky pinstripes.

That is all.

Tuesday, December 13, 2005

For Those About to Begin Fantasy Football Playoffs....

....I'm sure your wife/friends/co-workers are thrilled to hear about your roster(s). If you're not fortunate/lucky/skilled enough to have made your league's playoffs, I don't know what to tell you. Pretend you're a Colts fan, or something.

How are my teams doing? Well, since you asked. BOTH have made late-season runs into the Playoffs. "Smokes?" is my money-league team that placed third in an eight-team league in the standings in a four-team playoff format. "Proletariats" placed third in a twelve-team league with a six-team playoff format. I'm in new territory here.

Proletariats:

QB T. Brady/ QB C. Palmer/ WR S. Smith/ WR T. Houshmandzadeh/ RB C. Williams/ RB C. Dillon/ TE C. Cooley/ WR-RB M. Muhammad/ K M. Vanderjagt/ DEF Atlanta/ BN A.Pinner (RB)/ BN K. Jones (RB)/ BN G. Frerotte (QB)/ BN J. Feely (K)

Smokes?:

QB B. Favre/ QB D. Brees/ WR P. Burress/ WR C. Johnson/ RB D. Davis/ RB E. James/ TE T. Heap/ WR-RB C. Dillon/ K S. Janikowski/ DEF Seattle/ BN T. Housmandzadeh (WR)/ BN C. Williams (RB)/ BN J. Porter (WR)/ BN C. Perry (RB)/ BN D. Carr (QB)/ BN R. Williams (RB)/ BN D. Rhoades (RB)/ BN Miami (DEF)

WEEEEEE SALUUUUUUUUUUUUTE YOUUUUUUUUUUUUUU!!!! FIRE! [boom] FIRE [boom]

Friday, December 09, 2005

First, a Moment of Silence for Dodger Fans....

..for the recent hire of Grady Little as your skipper for 2006. [/silence] Now cue the Krusty soundbite here: heh, heh, heh, arrrrrrrrghhhhhh. Don't worry: I'm not going to recap the 7th inning of Game 7 of the 2003 ALCS or provide data that proved Pedro should have been removed to start the inning, let alone after giving up the double to Jeter, single to Bernie Williams, etc. Damn. Drooling f***ing idiot!!! j;lkjas;dlkjf;lkajlkjdsfahhhhhh. YOU STUMBLED INTO A GOOD BULLPEN USAGE PATTERN BY GAME 7!!!! WHY DIDN'T YOU USE IT?!?!?!dsfasdfas...FIVE (5) OUTS TO GO. FIVE!!!!

OK. Back on message. We must feel compassion for Dodger fans. Even the ones that arrive in Chavez Ravine sometime around the 3rd inning and leave after the middle of the 7th. If it's any consolation, the Dodgers aren't likely to finish much better that 80 wins in 2006, so Grady won't be able to inflict any psychic harm. You won't spend November of next year with that 1000 mile stare, wondering what might have been. Because you'll suck. You won't have a lineup that features Damon /Walker /Nomar / Manny/Ortiz /Varitek /Millar /Mueller. In other words, your offense won't be so good that the league's batting champion won't be batting 9th in the order. 9th. Your team won't be arguably better than the one that won the WS the very next year. (that might be a stretch, but the Red Sox offense was slightly better in 2003 than 2004. The pitching staff of the 2004 team was slightly deeper).

Whew. Hope it works out, Dodger Fan.